LLY — the engine's Play of the Day, fully scored
On Thursday, November 5, 2026, LLY scored in the 99th percentile of Wall Street Analyst's 15-dimension scoring engine with a STRONG BUY signal, at $1418.07 at publication, on a suggested horizon of 2–4 weeks. The full breakdown below is the engine's actual evidence, published the day of the call and graded in public afterward.
LLY screens in the 99th percentile on a momentum-led setup, with the momentum component at 86.3 driven by a +19.6% three-month run and price sitting near 52-week highs. The engine also flags elite earnings quality (87) — eight straight beats averaging a 17.2% surprise and accelerating earnings momentum (100) — alongside smart-money support including an insider cluster buy of 4 C-suite names and 13F ownership from Berkshire, Bridgewater, and Renaissance. Fundamentals reinforce the case with 72% growth, 33.5% margins, and 92.6% ROE.
This is a confirmed-strength momentum trade over a 2-4 week horizon, with entry near 1418.07 and next earnings 89 days out, so no imminent event risk. Ride the trend rather than anticipate a reversal.
RSI is already overbought at 77 against a stretched 45.4 P/E and an F value grade, so a break below the recent breakout zone or a loss of volume confirmation would invalidate the setup. The insider picture is two-sided — 7 distinct sellers and 5 C-suite sells — and heavier distribution would undercut the smart-money thesis.
The full case — all 15 dimensions
Every dimension the engine scored that day, with the actual evidence behind each number — including the ones that argue against the play. The twelve weighted dimensions come first; anything marked a supporting input is scored and shown, but reaches the composite through a capped confirmation bonus rather than a weighted share.
- Strong beat streak (8 consecutive quarters)
- Positive revision momentum (+0.46)
- Large average earnings surprise (+17.2%)
- Stable positive EPS estimates
- Near 52-week high (82th percentile)
- Strong 3-month momentum (+19.6%)
- Expensive P/E (45.4)
- Strong growth (72%)
- Excellent margins (33.5%)
- Strong ROE (92.6%)
- Insider buying activity (10 buys)
- Held by Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett), Bridgewater Associates (Dalio), Renaissance Technologies (Simons)
- High insider filing activity (12 Form 4s in 30d)
- Strong positive news sentiment (0.20)
- Strong analyst buy consensus (86%)
- RSI overbought (77)
- MACD bullish crossover
- Price above key moving averages
- Volume surge (1.5x avg)
- Reddit mentions via ApeWisdom: 2 in 24h (vs 0 the day before; per-post sentiment n/a)
- StockTwits bullish (bull/bear ratio: 9.0)
- Moderate social media volume (32 total messages)
- Ticker is trending on StockTwits
- Partial coverage: scored on 50% of social sources (confidence scaled accordingly)
- Very bearish put/call ratio (1.76)
- Unusual CALL activity (30 flags)
- Bullish sweep activity (10 call sweeps)
- Quant Grade: B- (60/100)
- Value: F
- Growth: A-
- Profitability: A+
- Momentum: A
- Eps Revisions: A+
- Revenue +50% (explosive)
- Earnings +95%
- Elite gross margin 83%
- Analyst target $1443 vs $1340.53 at scoring time (+8% implied)
- 8Q consecutive earnings beats (avg 17.2% surprise)
- Earnings surprises accelerating
- Insider cluster BUY (cluster feed, 1d window): 4 insiders, $187,760,189
- 8 consecutive earnings beats
- avg surprise +17.2%
- EPS trending up
- Scope: OpenInsider Form 4 filings, last 90 days. Starts from a neutral 50 baseline; drivers below adjust it
- 4 C-suite buy(s) totaling $2,828,655 (+25 pts)
- Cluster buy: 8 distinct insiders bought (+20 pts)
- 5 buy(s) >= $500K (total $3,839,743) (+15 pts)
- 7 distinct insiders selling (-20 pts)
- 5 C-suite sell(s) (-20 pts)
- Whale 13F decrease by Unknown fund (-5)
- Smart-money confirmation — moderate (+3)
A brief like this is generated from the engine's output every trading day. Today's Play is free — get it on the Play of the Day page or read how the 15 dimensions work.
The Play of the Day is the output of a quantitative scoring model, published for educational and informational purposes — it is not personalized investment advice, and Wall Street Analyst is not a registered investment advisor. Markets carry risk; past results don't guarantee future ones. Every decision is yours.