Play of the Day
One pick per trading day — the highest-conviction name in our 15-dimension scoring engine, with the full breakdown, a hold horizon, and exactly what would break the thesis. Every Play is logged the moment it publishes and its outcome lands in the public archive below, winners and losers. On days nothing clears the bar, we say so instead of forcing a pick.
SNDK
98.8 / 100 percentile$1484.30 at publicationSNDK lands in the 98.8th percentile on the strength of its fundamental dimension (92.9), with a 0.14 PEG, 175% revenue growth, 71% gross margins and 93.1% ROE anchoring the case. Earnings quality reinforces it — seven consecutive beats averaging +104% surprise, positive revision momentum and an A- quant grade led by A+ marks in growth, profitability and EPS revisions. Analyst upside screens wide, with a $2,153 target versus the $1,404 scoring-time price.
This is a fundamentals-led quality setup over a 1-3 month horizon, entered near $1,484 with earnings not due until November 5 and outside the danger zone. The thesis needs time to be recognized rather than an immediate momentum trade.
Momentum is already weak (-15.7% over three months) and risk is elevated — 117% volatility, 3.88 beta and a prior -57% drawdown — so continued erosion would invalidate the entry. Bearish signals also cluster: unusual put activity, put sweeps, insider selling across five distinct sellers, and decelerating earnings surprises.
The full case — all 15 dimensions
Every dimension the engine scored, with the actual evidence behind each number — including the ones that argue against the play. The twelve weighted dimensions come first; anything marked a supporting input is scored and shown, but reaches the composite through a capped confirmation bonus rather than a weighted share.
- Analyst target $2153 vs $1404.10 at scoring time (+53% implied)
- Wide target dispersion (low conviction)
- PEG undervalued (0.14)
- Strong growth (175%)
- Excellent margins (56.5%)
- Strong ROE (93.1%)
- Strong beat streak (7 consecutive quarters)
- Positive revision momentum (+1.00)
- Large average earnings surprise (+104.0%)
- Stable positive EPS estimates
- Quant Grade: A- (82/100)
- Value: D
- Growth: A+
- Profitability: A+
- Momentum: B
- Eps Revisions: A+
- Revenue +175% (explosive)
- Elite gross margin 71%
- High net margin 56%
- Reddit mentions via ApeWisdom: 16 in 24h (vs 20 the day before; per-post sentiment n/a)
- StockTwits bullish (bull/bear ratio: 8.5)
- High social media volume (46 total messages)
- Ticker is trending on StockTwits
- Partial coverage: scored on 50% of social sources (confidence scaled accordingly)
- MACD bullish crossover
- Price above key moving averages
- Strong analyst buy consensus (84%)
- 7Q consecutive earnings beats (avg 104.0% surprise)
- Earnings surprises decelerating
- Insider cluster BUY: 14 insiders, $3,199,695,487 in 5d
- Insider selling activity (16 sells)
- Held by Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett), Bridgewater Associates (Dalio), Renaissance Technologies (Simons)
- High insider filing activity (8 Form 4s in 30d)
- Excellent Sharpe ratio (3.47)
- High volatility (117%)
- Large max drawdown (-57%)
- High beta (3.88)
- Unusual PUT activity (32 flags)
- Bearish sweep activity (8 put sweeps)
- Very high options volume (293,356)
- Weak 3-month momentum (-15.7%)
- 7 consecutive earnings beats
- avg surprise +104.0%
- EPS trending up
- Scope: OpenInsider Form 4 filings, last 90 days. Starts from a neutral 50 baseline; drivers below adjust it
- 5 distinct insiders selling (-20 pts)
- Only insider sales, no buys (-10 pts)
The Archive — every Play, scored
So far: 18 of 51 resolved Plays positive, and 13 of 51 ahead of SPY over the same window. Each Play is scored at the longest horizon that has fully elapsed since it published — 30, 14, or 7 days — shown next to every result. Forward returns are measured automatically — nothing is edited after publication.
| DATE | PLAY | PERCENTILE | ENTRY | OUTCOME | VS SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | SNDK | 98.8 | $1484.30 | pending | — |
| 2026-08-28 | MTDR | 98.3 | $56.72 | pending | — |
| 2026-08-27 | KO | 98.4 | $90.09 | pending | — |
| 2026-08-26 | CFG | 99 | $69.83 | pending | — |
| 2026-08-25 | MU | 99 | $910.34 | pending | — |
| 2026-08-24 | OXY | 99 | $61.29 | pending | — |
| 2026-08-21 | SNDK | 98.1 | $1601.49 | -7.3% (7d) | -8.2% |
| 2026-08-20 | BMY | 98 | $67.62 | -1.0% (7d) | -1.3% |
| 2026-08-19 | BAC | 98.1 | $64.25 | -3.2% (7d) | -3.0% |
| 2026-08-18 | RGA | 99 | $247.50 | -1.1% (7d) | -0.2% |
| 2026-08-17 | MU | 99 | $971.98 | -5.7% (7d) | -4.1% |
| 2026-08-14 | LLY | 99 | $1209.09 | -2.9% (14d) | -1.8% |
| 2026-08-13 | ZION | 99 | $71.92 | -5.6% (14d) | -5.4% |
| 2026-08-12 | UAL | 99 | $126.18 | -9.0% (14d) | -8.4% |
| 2026-08-11 | BAC | 99 | $63.88 | -2.3% (14d) | -1.4% |
| 2026-08-10 | BMY | 99 | $64.70 | +4.0% (14d) | +5.0% |
| 2026-08-07 | MU | 99 | $881.45 | +4.4% (14d) | +5.0% |
| 2026-08-06 | WDC | 99 | $519.22 | -13.7% (14d) | -12.0% |
| 2026-08-05 | UMBF | 99 | $148.25 | -1.2% (14d) | -1.3% |
| 2026-08-04 | AER | 99 | $153.68 | -0.5% (14d) | -1.9% |
| 2026-08-03 | BAC | 99 | $61.98 | +3.8% (14d) | +0.0% |
| 2026-07-31 | ALL | 99 | $265.43 | -1.9% (14d) | -6.4% |
| 2026-07-30 | EG | 93.3 | $393.37 | -7.0% (14d) | -13.7% |
| 2026-07-29 | PNC | 99 | $251.69 | -3.8% (30d) | -7.6% |
| 2026-07-28 | RNR | 99 | $329.18 | +0.4% (30d) | -4.2% |
| 2026-07-27 | CINF | 99 | $182.75 | -5.7% (30d) | -9.4% |
| 2026-07-24 | BAC | 99 | $61.30 | +1.6% (30d) | -1.9% |
| 2026-07-23 | SPG | 99 | $226.29 | -3.6% (30d) | -5.8% |
| 2026-07-22 | AER | 99 | $151.78 | -3.6% (30d) | -5.9% |
| 2026-07-21 | ZION | 98.4 | $71.94 | -5.6% (30d) | -7.8% |
| 2026-07-20 | WTFC | 99 | $164.19 | -10.8% (30d) | -14.5% |
| 2026-07-17 | KEY | 99 | $23.98 | -4.0% (30d) | -7.1% |
| 2026-07-16 | BAC | 99 | $61.62 | +4.7% (30d) | +1.8% |
| 2026-07-15 | SPG | 99 | $221.30 | -0.4% (30d) | -3.7% |
| 2026-07-14 | CINF | 99 | $182.64 | -4.4% (30d) | -7.8% |
| 2026-07-13 | TRV | 99 | $338.86 | +9.7% (30d) | +7.3% |
| 2026-07-10 | RNR | 99 | $311.24 | +3.4% (30d) | +0.2% |
| 2026-07-09 | ZION | 98 | $68.64 | +2.9% (30d) | -0.8% |
| 2026-07-08 | BAC | 99 | $59.85 | +5.1% (30d) | +2.2% |
| 2026-07-07 | UMBF | 99 | $144.36 | +1.7% (30d) | -0.8% |
| 2026-07-06 | CINF | 97.2 | $191.84 | -7.0% (30d) | -11.3% |
| 2026-07-02 | SPG | 99 | $222.85 | +0.4% (30d) | +0.4% |
| 2026-07-01 | USB | 93.1 | $60.41 | +4.2% (30d) | +4.3% |
| 2026-06-30 | TER | 93.1 | $463.33 | -21.4% (30d) | -21.7% |
| 2026-06-29 | BAC | 99 | $57.81 | +6.3% (30d) | +6.5% |
| 2026-06-26 | MU | 99 | $1215.46 | -23.0% (30d) | -23.5% |
| 2026-06-25 | C | 96.6 | $143.68 | -7.7% (30d) | -7.8% |
| 2026-06-24 | STX | 96.8 | $1039.42 | -19.1% (30d) | -19.8% |
| 2026-06-23 | GE | 99 | $355.46 | -2.7% (30d) | -4.6% |
| 2026-06-22 | SPG | 99 | $211.44 | +6.4% (30d) | +3.2% |
| 2026-06-19 | WDC | 99 | $746.38 | -35.8% (30d) | -38.1% |
| 2026-06-18 | SNDK | 99 | $1960.13 | -30.1% (30d) | -29.9% |
| 2026-06-17 | BAC | 99 | $56.85 | +7.8% (30d) | +8.8% |
| 2026-06-16 | MU | 98.3 | $1088.17 | -21.9% (30d) | -21.8% |
| 2026-06-15 | C | 99 | $139.78 | -3.5% (30d) | -5.3% |
| 2026-06-12 | SPG | 99 | $214.69 | +1.9% (30d) | -0.5% |
| 2026-06-11 | LLY | 99 | $1136.26 | +4.8% (30d) | +0.9% |
The Play of the Day is the output of a quantitative scoring model, published for educational and informational purposes — it is not personalized investment advice, and Wall Street Analyst is not a registered investment advisor. Markets carry risk; past results don't guarantee future ones. Every decision is yours.