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Did We Actually Beat the Index?

Every newsletter on earth will show you a winner. The only question that actually matters is the one almost none of them will answer: after you count the losers, did you beat just buying the S&P? For most services the honest answer is no — which is exactly why they won't show you.

1
Demand the whole record.

Winners AND losers. A service that only shows you green is selling you survivorship bias — the trades that worked, with the ones that didn't quietly deleted. The full record is the only honest one.

2
Compare to the index, not to zero.

+40% sounds incredible until you learn the S&P did +38% the same year. The real scorecard isn't your return — it's your return ABOVE what you'd have made doing nothing. That's alpha, the only fair measuring stick.

3
Net of the mistakes.

The losers count. A track record that drops the bad calls and keeps the good ones isn't a record — it's a highlight reel. Judge any service on what it did including the names it got wrong.

4
We publish all of it, live.

Every signal, every model portfolio, scored against the S&P, winners and losers, updated continuously. The good and the ugly, in the open — because that's the only version worth anything to you.

Radical transparency only helps you if there's actually an edge underneath it — which is why almost no one does it. We show you everything, because we'll take that bet. That's one more thing you won't find in most inboxes.

See the full track record →
Same concept, another angle: The Buyer's Guide to a Track Record