UNP — the engine's Play of the Day, fully scored
On Wednesday, October 28, 2026, UNP scored in the 98.6th percentile of Wall Street Analyst's 15-dimension scoring engine with a STRONG BUY signal, at $299.87 at publication, on a suggested horizon of 2–4 weeks. The full breakdown below is the engine's actual evidence, published the day of the call and graded in public afterward.
This grade was written by the market, not by us: the Play was timestamped at publication and scored automatically against its entry price. Winners and losers both stay up — the full record lives on the track record.
UNP lands in the 98.6th percentile on a confluence of options flow (85) and risk-adjusted strength (78), with a very bullish 0.31 put/call ratio, 10 unusual call flags, and a bullish sweep backing the move. The fundamental base is elite — 29% net margin, 39% ROE, A-grade profitability and EPS revisions — while an insider cluster buy of roughly $40.5M across 13 filers adds conviction. Price sits near the 84th percentile of its 52-week range with a MACD bullish crossover and trade above key moving averages.
This is a momentum-led setup on a confirmed break back toward the summer highs, framed for a 2–4 week hold with entry near 299.87. Ride the options-flow and insider confirmation rather than fading into it.
A close back below the key moving averages or loss of the ~287–290 reclaim zone would void the momentum thesis, as would reversal in the call flow or follow-through on the 22 distinct C-suite sellers offsetting the cluster buy. A rich PEG of 2.75 leaves little valuation cushion if the trend stalls.
The full case — all 15 dimensions
Every dimension the engine scored that day, with the actual evidence behind each number — including the ones that argue against the play. The twelve weighted dimensions come first; anything marked a supporting input is scored and shown, but reaches the composite through a capped confirmation bonus rather than a weighted share.
- Very bullish put/call ratio (0.31)
- Unusual CALL activity (10 flags)
- Bullish sweep activity (1 call sweeps)
- Reddit mentions via ApeWisdom: 1 in 24h (vs 1 the day before; per-post sentiment n/a)
- StockTwits bullish (bull/bear ratio: 6.0)
- Moderate social media volume (31 total messages)
- Ticker is trending on StockTwits
- Partial coverage: scored on 50% of social sources (confidence scaled accordingly)
- MACD bullish crossover
- Price above key moving averages
- Near 52-week high (84th percentile)
- PEG overvalued (2.75)
- Excellent margins (28.9%)
- Strong ROE (38.6%)
- Analyst target $331 vs $299.11 at scoring time (+11% implied)
- Tight target dispersion (high conviction)
- Held by Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett), Bridgewater Associates (Dalio), Renaissance Technologies (Simons)
- High insider filing activity (13 Form 4s in 30d)
- Quant Grade: B- (65/100)
- Value: D+
- Growth: D+
- Profitability: A
- Momentum: B-
- Eps Revisions: A-
- Elite gross margin 78%
- High net margin 29%
- Exceptional ROE 39%
- Strong analyst buy consensus (73%)
- Moderate beat streak (3 consecutive quarters)
- Positive revision momentum (+0.30)
- Modest positive surprise trend (+2.8%)
- Stable positive EPS estimates
- 3Q consecutive earnings beats (avg 2.9% surprise)
- Insider cluster BUY (cluster feed, 9d window): 13 insiders, $40,532,777
- Positive: 3 consecutive EPS beats
- Modest avg earnings surprise: +2.6%
- Strong EPS growth trend: +23.4%
- Scope: OpenInsider Form 4 filings, last 90 days. Starts from a neutral 50 baseline; drivers below adjust it
- 1 C-suite buy(s) totaling $999,007 (+10 pts)
- Cluster buy: 6 distinct insiders bought (+20 pts)
- 2 purchase(s) increased ownership by >20% (+10 pts)
- 4 buy(s) >= $500K (total $7,845,547) (+15 pts)
- 22 distinct insiders selling (-20 pts)
- 22 C-suite sell(s) (-20 pts)
A brief like this is generated from the engine's output every trading day. Today's Play is free — get it on the Play of the Day page or read how the 15 dimensions work.
The Play of the Day is the output of a quantitative scoring model, published for educational and informational purposes — it is not personalized investment advice, and Wall Street Analyst is not a registered investment advisor. Markets carry risk; past results don't guarantee future ones. Every decision is yours.