NVDA — the engine's Play of the Day, fully scored
On Thursday, October 1, 2026, NVDA scored in the 96.8th percentile of Wall Street Analyst's 15-dimension scoring engine with a STRONG BUY signal, at $228.29 at publication, on a suggested horizon of 2–4 weeks. The full breakdown below is the engine's actual evidence, published the day of the call and graded in public afterward.
NVDA lands in the 96.8th percentile on the strength of momentum (86.8) and options flow (92), with price near 52-week highs after a +17.4% three-month run and an MACD bullish crossover above key moving averages. Fundamentals reinforce the setup — explosive growth, elite margins, a 0.51 PEG, and eight consecutive earnings beats averaging +6.0% — while analyst upside screens at 100 against a $345 target versus the entry near $228. Confidence is HIGH with earnings 47 days out, outside the danger zone.
This is a momentum-led continuation setup with entry at 228.29 and a 2–4 week horizon — ride confirmed strength rather than anticipating a reversal. Options flow is leaning bullish with unusual call activity, a 0.52 put/call ratio, and heavy call sweeps supporting the trend.
A break below the moving-average support that underpins the technical read, or a MACD rollover, would invalidate the momentum thesis. Elevated beta (2.22), weak risk-adjusted (42) and smart-money (47.9) scores, and persistent insider selling (16 insiders, 42 C-suite sells) mean a broad risk-off tape or fading call flow could unwind the setup quickly.
The full case — all 15 dimensions
Every dimension the engine scored that day, with the actual evidence behind each number — including the ones that argue against the play. The twelve weighted dimensions come first; anything marked a supporting input is scored and shown, but reaches the composite through a capped confirmation bonus rather than a weighted share.
- Analyst target $345 vs $229.31 at scoring time (+51% implied)
- Bullish put/call ratio (0.52)
- Unusual CALL activity (31 flags)
- Bullish sweep activity (10 call sweeps)
- Very high options volume (2,963,701)
- Near 52-week high (90th percentile)
- Strong 3-month momentum (+17.4%)
- PEG undervalued (0.51)
- Strong growth (104%)
- Excellent margins (63.7%)
- Strong ROE (110.1%)
- Strong beat streak (8 consecutive quarters)
- Positive revision momentum (+0.39)
- Large average earnings surprise (+6.0%)
- Growing EPS estimates quarter-over-quarter
- Reddit mentions via ApeWisdom: 84 in 24h (vs 82 the day before; per-post sentiment n/a)
- StockTwits bullish (bull/bear ratio: 18.0)
- High social media volume (114 total messages)
- Ticker is trending on StockTwits
- Partial coverage: scored on 50% of social sources (confidence scaled accordingly)
- Strong analyst buy consensus (94%)
- MACD bullish crossover
- Price above key moving averages
- Quant Grade: B- (60/100)
- Value: F
- Growth: A+
- Profitability: A+
- Momentum: A-
- Eps Revisions: A+
- Revenue +83% (explosive)
- Earnings +125%
- Elite gross margin 75%
- Insider selling activity (30 sells)
- 3 Congress members selling
- Held by Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett), Bridgewater Associates (Dalio), Renaissance Technologies (Simons)
- High insider filing activity (12 Form 4s in 30d)
- 8Q consecutive earnings beats (avg 6.0% surprise)
- Earnings surprises accelerating
- Insider cluster BUY (cluster feed, 12d window): 15 insiders, $17,925,430,072
- High beta (2.22)
- 8 consecutive earnings beats
- avg surprise +6.0%
- EPS trending up
- Whale 13F decrease by Unknown fund (-5)
- Scope: OpenInsider Form 4 filings, last 90 days. Starts from a neutral 50 baseline; drivers below adjust it
- 16 distinct insiders selling (-20 pts)
- 42 C-suite sell(s) (-20 pts)
- Only insider sales, no buys (-10 pts)
A brief like this is generated from the engine's output every trading day. Today's Play is free — get it on the Play of the Day page or read how the 15 dimensions work.
The Play of the Day is the output of a quantitative scoring model, published for educational and informational purposes — it is not personalized investment advice, and Wall Street Analyst is not a registered investment advisor. Markets carry risk; past results don't guarantee future ones. Every decision is yours.