📈Wall Street Analyst
Sign inStart Free Trial
Daily Brief · Thursday, September 24, 2026

OXY — the engine's Play of the Day, fully scored

On Thursday, September 24, 2026, OXY scored in the 98.1th percentile of Wall Street Analyst's 15-dimension scoring engine with a STRONG BUY signal, at $57.37 at publication, on a suggested horizon of 1–2 weeks. The full breakdown below is the engine's actual evidence, published the day of the call and graded in public afterward.

STRONG BUY
SIGNAL
1–2 weeks
HOLD HORIZON
MODERATE
RISK
HIGH
MODEL CONFIDENCE
72
RAW COMPOSITE
$57.37
ENTRY PRICE
Why the engine flagged it

OXY sits in the 98th percentile on the strength of two standout dimensions: options flow (95) showing a bullish 0.47 put/call ratio, 28 unusual call flags and five call sweeps, plus a maxed insider signal (100) with a 16-insider cluster buy and seven C-suite purchases. Fundamentals reinforce the case at an 8.8 P/E, 33.5% margins and eight straight earnings beats averaging a 39.5% surprise, while Berkshire, Bridgewater and Renaissance appear on the holder list.

The play — 1–2 weeks

This is a catalyst-driven setup with the edge concentrated over the next one to two weeks, entering near 57.37 with earnings not until November 9 so the danger zone is clear.

What breaks the thesis

A rollover in the options flow, evidence the insider cluster buying stalls, or a break below the recent September low near 56 would undercut the thesis; the MACD bearish crossover and negative estimate revision momentum are the near-term counterweights to watch.

The full case — all 15 dimensions

Every dimension the engine scored that day, with the actual evidence behind each number — including the ones that argue against the play. The twelve weighted dimensions come first; anything marked a supporting input is scored and shown, but reaches the composite through a capped confirmation bonus rather than a weighted share.

Options Flow95
  • Very bullish put/call ratio (0.47)
  • Unusual CALL activity (28 flags)
  • Bullish sweep activity (5 call sweeps)
Earnings Quality80
  • Strong beat streak (8 consecutive quarters)
  • Negative revision momentum (-0.08)
  • Large average earnings surprise (+39.5%)
  • Stable positive EPS estimates
Fundamentals80
  • Attractive P/E (8.8)
  • PEG overvalued (3.60)
  • Strong growth (99%)
  • Excellent margins (33.5%)
Analyst Upside75
  • Analyst target $71 vs $56.96 at scoring time (+24% implied)
Quant Factor71
  • Quant Grade: B (70/100)
  • Value: A
  • Growth: B+
  • Profitability: A-
  • Momentum: C+
  • Eps Revisions: C+
  • Deep value P/E 8.8
  • Earnings +196%
  • Elite gross margin 78%
Momentum70
  • Strong 3-month momentum (+12.0%)
Social67
  • Reddit mentions via ApeWisdom: 0 in 24h (vs 0 the day before; per-post sentiment n/a)
  • StockTwits bullish (bull/bear ratio: 7.0)
  • Moderate social media volume (30 total messages)
  • Ticker is trending on StockTwits
  • Partial coverage: scored on 50% of social sources (confidence scaled accordingly)
Smart Money62
  • Held by Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett), Bridgewater Associates (Dalio), Renaissance Technologies (Simons)
Earnings Intel59
  • 8Q consecutive earnings beats (avg 39.5% surprise)
  • Insider cluster BUY (cluster feed, 1d window): 4 insiders, $126,626,681
  • Sector laggard vs XLE (-3.4% 1mo, -4.2% 3mo)
Sentiment51
  • Strong positive news sentiment (0.15)
Technical50
  • MACD bearish crossover
  • Price above key moving averages
Risk-Adjusted42
Earnings MomentumSupporting input · not weighted100
  • 8 consecutive earnings beats
  • avg surprise +39.5%
  • EPS trending up
Insider DepthSupporting input · not weighted100
  • Scope: OpenInsider Form 4 filings, last 90 days. Starts from a neutral 50 baseline; drivers below adjust it
  • 7 C-suite buy(s) totaling $4,205,775 (+25 pts)
  • Cluster buy: 16 distinct insiders bought (+20 pts)
  • 9 purchase(s) increased ownership by >20% (+15 pts)
  • 39 buy(s) >= $500K (total $9,920,277,677) (+15 pts)
  • 5 distinct insiders selling (-20 pts)
  • Signal drivers totalled 105 before the cap — capped at 100

A brief like this is generated from the engine's output every trading day. Today's Play is free — get it on the Play of the Day page or read how the 15 dimensions work.

← SNDK · 2026-09-23All briefs

The Play of the Day is the output of a quantitative scoring model, published for educational and informational purposes — it is not personalized investment advice, and Wall Street Analyst is not a registered investment advisor. Markets carry risk; past results don't guarantee future ones. Every decision is yours.