CVX — the engine's Play of the Day, fully scored
On Monday, September 14, 2026, CVX scored in the 98.9th percentile of Wall Street Analyst's 15-dimension scoring engine with a STRONG BUY signal, at $214.06 at publication, on a suggested horizon of 1–2 weeks. The full breakdown below is the engine's actual evidence, published the day of the call and graded in public afterward.
This grade was written by the market, not by us: the Play was timestamped at publication and scored automatically against its entry price. Winners and losers both stay up — the full record lives on the track record.
CVX sits in the 98.9th percentile on a composite of 74.6, driven by a perfect options-flow reading (100) that pairs a very bullish 0.37 put/call ratio with 28 unusual call flags and 7 bullish sweeps. Momentum (80.2) confirms the trend with a +14.4% three-month move near 52-week highs, while smart money (79.3) reflects Buffett, Dalio and Simons holdings alongside clustered insider buys. Earnings momentum (92.3) adds a base of six straight beats averaging +7.4% surprise.
This is a catalyst archetype with a 1-2 week horizon, entering near 214.06 with earnings a comfortable 45 days out. The edge is concentrated in the options-flow window, so the setup favors a tight hold rather than a long-term position.
A reversal in the call-flow signal or a break back below the moving averages that anchor the technical read would invalidate the setup. Note the conflicting insider-depth score of zero, flagging 18 distinct sellers and 30 C-suite sells over 90 days against the shorter-window cluster buys.
The full case — all 15 dimensions
Every dimension the engine scored that day, with the actual evidence behind each number — including the ones that argue against the play. The twelve weighted dimensions come first; anything marked a supporting input is scored and shown, but reaches the composite through a capped confirmation bonus rather than a weighted share.
- Very bullish put/call ratio (0.37)
- Unusual CALL activity (28 flags)
- Bullish sweep activity (7 call sweeps)
- Very high options volume (57,994)
- Near 52-week high (83th percentile)
- Strong 3-month momentum (+14.4%)
- Insider buying activity (16 buys)
- Held by Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett), Bridgewater Associates (Dalio), Renaissance Technologies (Simons)
- High insider filing activity (6 Form 4s in 30d)
- Reddit mentions via ApeWisdom: 1 in 24h (vs 2 the day before; per-post sentiment n/a)
- StockTwits bullish (bull/bear ratio: 10.0)
- Moderate social media volume (31 total messages)
- Ticker is trending on StockTwits
- Partial coverage: scored on 50% of social sources (confidence scaled accordingly)
- Quant Grade: B (70/100)
- Value: B
- Growth: A
- Profitability: C
- Momentum: B+
- Eps Revisions: B+
- Earnings +35%
- 12M return +38%
- 6 consecutive EPS beats
- MACD bullish crossover
- Price above key moving averages
- Strong beat streak (6 consecutive quarters)
- Flat estimate revisions
- Large average earnings surprise (+7.4%)
- Stable positive EPS estimates
- Strong analyst buy consensus (83%)
- 6Q consecutive earnings beats (avg 11.2% surprise)
- Earnings surprises accelerating
- Insider cluster BUY (cluster feed, 8d window): 23 insiders, $1,237,967,288
- Sector leader vs XLE (+2.1% 1mo, +1.1% 3mo)
- Analyst target $217 vs $204.52 at scoring time (+6% implied)
- 6 consecutive earnings beats
- avg surprise +7.4%
- EPS trending up
- Scope: OpenInsider Form 4 filings, last 90 days. Starts from a neutral 50 baseline; drivers below adjust it
- 18 distinct insiders selling (-20 pts)
- 30 C-suite sell(s) (-20 pts)
- Only insider sales, no buys (-10 pts)
A brief like this is generated from the engine's output every trading day. Today's Play is free — get it on the Play of the Day page or read how the 15 dimensions work.
The Play of the Day is the output of a quantitative scoring model, published for educational and informational purposes — it is not personalized investment advice, and Wall Street Analyst is not a registered investment advisor. Markets carry risk; past results don't guarantee future ones. Every decision is yours.