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Daily Brief · Friday, August 14, 2026

LLY — the engine's Play of the Day, fully scored

On Friday, August 14, 2026, LLY scored in the 99th percentile of Wall Street Analyst's 15-dimension scoring engine with a STRONG BUY signal, at $1209.09 at publication, on a suggested horizon of 2–4 weeks. The full breakdown below is the engine's actual evidence, published the day of the call and graded in public afterward.

How the call aged — graded at 14d
-2.9%from entry over 14d
-1.8%vs the S&P 500, same window

This grade was written by the market, not by us: the Play was timestamped at publication and scored automatically against its entry price. Winners and losers both stay up — the full record lives on the track record.

STRONG BUY
SIGNAL
2–4 weeks
HOLD HORIZON
MODERATE
RISK
HIGH
MODEL CONFIDENCE
73
RAW COMPOSITE
$1209.09
ENTRY PRICE
Why the engine flagged it

LLY sits in the 99th percentile today on a momentum-led profile: momentum scores 91.6 near a 52-week high with +20% over three months, options flow reads 95 on a bullish 0.49 put/call ratio, 30 unusual call flags, and 8 call sweeps. That's reinforced by earnings quality (82.8) with seven consecutive beats averaging +10.9% surprise, an A+ growth and profitability quant grade, and an insider cluster buy spanning eight distinct names totaling roughly $174M. Value remains the offset — a P/E of 42.2 and an F on the value factor.

The play — 2–4 weeks

This is a momentum continuation setup near the highs, sized to a 2-4 week horizon around an entry near $1,209. The mandate is to ride confirmed strength, not to bottom-fish, with earnings 75 days out and outside the danger zone.

What breaks the thesis

A break back below the moving-average cluster and the reclaimed $1,120-1,150 base, or a reversal in the bullish options flow, would invalidate the momentum thesis. Given the stretched 42.2 P/E and F value grade, any multiple compression leaves little cushion.

The full case — all 15 dimensions

Every dimension the engine scored that day, with the actual evidence behind each number — including the ones that argue against the play. The twelve weighted dimensions come first; anything marked a supporting input is scored and shown, but reaches the composite through a capped confirmation bonus rather than a weighted share.

Options Flow95
  • Very bullish put/call ratio (0.49)
  • Unusual CALL activity (30 flags)
  • Bullish sweep activity (8 call sweeps)
Momentum92
  • Near 52-week high (94th percentile)
  • Strong 3-month momentum (+20.0%)
Social89
  • Reddit mentions via ApeWisdom: 1 in 24h (vs 4 the day before; per-post sentiment n/a)
  • StockTwits bullish (bull/bear ratio: 15.0)
  • High social media volume (31 total messages)
  • Ticker is trending on social media
Earnings Quality83
  • Strong beat streak (7 consecutive quarters)
  • Positive revision momentum (+0.38)
  • Large average earnings surprise (+10.9%)
  • Stable positive EPS estimates
Fundamentals74
  • Expensive P/E (42.2)
  • Strong growth (72%)
  • Excellent margins (33.5%)
  • Strong ROE (92.6%)
Technical70
  • MACD bullish crossover
  • Price above key moving averages
Sentiment69
  • Strong positive news sentiment (0.18)
  • Strong analyst buy consensus (79%)
Analyst Upside61
  • Analyst target $1342 vs $1212.18 (+11% implied)
Quant Factor60
  • Quant Grade: B- (60/100)
  • Value: F
  • Growth: A+
  • Profitability: A+
  • Momentum: A-
  • Eps Revisions: A+
  • Revenue +50% (explosive)
  • Earnings +95%
  • Elite gross margin 83%
Smart Money55
  • 2 Congress members selling
  • Held by Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett), Bridgewater Associates (Dalio), Renaissance Technologies (Simons)
  • High insider filing activity (7 Form 4s in 30d)
Risk-Adjusted49
Earnings Intel49
  • 7Q consecutive earnings beats (avg 15.8% surprise)
  • Earnings surprises accelerating
  • Insider cluster BUY: 7 insiders, $174,463,910 in 12d
Earnings MomentumSupporting input · not weighted100
  • 7 consecutive earnings beats
  • avg surprise +10.9%
  • EPS trending up
Insider DepthSupporting input · not weighted70
  • 4 C-suite buy(s) totaling $2,828,655 (+25 pts)
  • Cluster buy: 8 distinct insiders bought (+20 pts)
  • 5 buy(s) >= $500K (total $3,839,743) (+15 pts)
  • 6 distinct insiders selling (-20 pts)
  • 4 C-suite sell(s) (-20 pts)

A brief like this is generated from the engine's output every trading day. Today's Play is free — get it on the Play of the Day page or read how the 15 dimensions work.

ZION · 2026-08-13MU · 2026-08-17All briefs

The Play of the Day is the output of a quantitative scoring model, published for educational and informational purposes — it is not personalized investment advice, and Wall Street Analyst is not a registered investment advisor. Markets carry risk; past results don't guarantee future ones. Every decision is yours.