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Daily Brief · Wednesday, August 12, 2026

UAL — the engine's Play of the Day, fully scored

On Wednesday, August 12, 2026, UAL scored in the 99th percentile of Wall Street Analyst's 15-dimension scoring engine with a STRONG BUY signal, at $126.18 at publication, on a suggested horizon of 2–4 weeks. The full breakdown below is the engine's actual evidence, published the day of the call and graded in public afterward.

How the call aged — graded at 14d
-9.0%from entry over 14d
-8.4%vs the S&P 500, same window

This grade was written by the market, not by us: the Play was timestamped at publication and scored automatically against its entry price. Winners and losers both stay up — the full record lives on the track record.

STRONG BUY
SIGNAL
2–4 weeks
HOLD HORIZON
MODERATE
RISK
HIGH
MODEL CONFIDENCE
72
RAW COMPOSITE
$126.18
ENTRY PRICE
Why the engine flagged it

UAL screens in the 99th percentile on the strength of a momentum score of 90.5, backed by a +31.7% three-month move and price sitting above key moving averages with a fresh MACD bullish crossover. The fundamental case reinforces the setup: a P/E of 11.6, PEG of 0.64, 22.5% ROE, and a B+ quant grade led by A-rated value, momentum, and EPS revisions. Insider depth is notable, with four C-suite buys and a 15-insider cluster purchase, though the same data shows heavy offsetting insider selling.

The play — 2–4 weeks

This is a momentum-led continuation setup with a 2-to-4 week horizon — the discipline is to ride confirmed strength off the +32% run rather than anticipate a reversal. Entry references 126.18, well clear of the October 21 earnings danger zone at 69 days out.

What breaks the thesis

A loss of the moving-average structure or a MACD roll-over would invalidate the momentum thesis, and with 49% volatility the drawdown risk is real. The put/call ratio of 1.03 and the 21-insider selling tally are the countervailing signals to watch if price stalls.

The full case — all 15 dimensions

Every dimension the engine scored that day, with the actual evidence behind each number — including the ones that argue against the play. The twelve weighted dimensions come first; anything marked a supporting input is scored and shown, but reaches the composite through a capped confirmation bonus rather than a weighted share.

Momentum91
  • Strong 3-month momentum (+31.7%)
Social86
  • Reddit mentions via ApeWisdom: 1 in 24h (vs 1 the day before; per-post sentiment n/a)
  • StockTwits bullish (bull/bear ratio: 8.0)
  • High social media volume (31 total messages)
  • Ticker is trending on social media
Fundamentals77
  • Attractive P/E (11.6)
  • PEG undervalued (0.64)
  • Strong ROE (22.5%)
Quant Factor72
  • Quant Grade: B+ (72/100)
  • Value: A
  • Growth: C-
  • Profitability: C+
  • Momentum: A-
  • Eps Revisions: A
  • Deep value P/E 11.6
  • Elite gross margin 61%
  • 3M return +32%
Technical70
  • MACD bullish crossover
  • Price above key moving averages
Options Flow68
  • Bearish put/call ratio (1.03)
  • Unusual CALL activity (28 flags)
  • Bullish sweep activity (2 call sweeps)
Sentiment68
  • Strong analyst buy consensus (87%)
Smart Money52
  • Insider selling activity (17 sells)
  • Held by Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett), Bridgewater Associates (Dalio), Renaissance Technologies (Simons)
  • High insider filing activity (9 Form 4s in 30d)
Earnings Quality46
  • No recent earnings beats
  • Flat estimate revisions
  • Large average earnings surprise (+8.4%)
  • Limited EPS estimate data available
Risk-Adjusted42
  • High volatility (49%)
Earnings Intel18
  • Insider cluster BUY: 24 insiders, $556,208,346 in 14d
Insider DepthSupporting input · not weighted85
  • 4 C-suite buy(s) totaling $2,756,923 (+25 pts)
  • Cluster buy: 15 distinct insiders bought (+20 pts)
  • 14 purchase(s) increased ownership by >20% (+15 pts)
  • 19 buy(s) >= $500K (total $225,224,137) (+15 pts)
  • 21 distinct insiders selling (-20 pts)
  • 13 C-suite sell(s) (-20 pts)
Earnings MomentumSupporting input · not weighted65
  • 8 consecutive earnings beats
  • avg surprise +8.4%
  • EPS trending down

A brief like this is generated from the engine's output every trading day. Today's Play is free — get it on the Play of the Day page or read how the 15 dimensions work.

BAC · 2026-08-11ZION · 2026-08-13All briefs

The Play of the Day is the output of a quantitative scoring model, published for educational and informational purposes — it is not personalized investment advice, and Wall Street Analyst is not a registered investment advisor. Markets carry risk; past results don't guarantee future ones. Every decision is yours.