AER — the engine's Play of the Day, fully scored
On Wednesday, July 22, 2026, AER scored in the 99th percentile of Wall Street Analyst's 15-dimension scoring engine with a STRONG BUY signal, at $151.78 at publication, on a suggested horizon of 1–3 months. The full breakdown below is the engine's actual evidence, published the day of the call and graded in public afterward.
This grade was written by the market, not by us: the Play was timestamped at publication and scored automatically against its entry price. Winners and losers both stay up — the full record lives on the track record.
AER lands in the 99th percentile on the back of an exceptional fundamental profile (94.1) — a 5.9 P/E, 54% growth, 50.7% margins and 21.6% ROE — paired with a perfect av_earnings_momentum score (100) reflecting six straight beats averaging +30.9% surprise. Options flow (85) confirms with a 0.36 put/call ratio, unusual call activity and bullish sweeps, while momentum (78.5) sits near the 52-week high at the 97th percentile.
This is a fundamentals-led quality setup with a 1-3 month horizon, entered near $151.78 with analyst targets at $172 (+12% implied) and tight dispersion signaling conviction. Note earnings land in six days on July 29, so the thesis will be tested early.
A weak July 29 print that breaks the six-quarter beat streak or triggers negative estimate revisions would undercut the entire fundamental case. Additional weight on the smart-money signal is warranted given the mixed insider picture — 11 distinct insiders selling and 11 C-suite sells offset the cluster buying — and a MACD bearish crossover leaves technicals neutral at 50.
The full case — all 15 dimensions
Every dimension the engine scored that day, with the actual evidence behind each number — including the ones that argue against the play. The twelve weighted dimensions come first; anything marked a supporting input is scored and shown, but reaches the composite through a capped confirmation bonus rather than a weighted share.
- Attractive P/E (5.9)
- Strong growth (54%)
- Excellent margins (50.7%)
- Strong ROE (21.6%)
- Very bullish put/call ratio (0.36)
- Unusual CALL activity (12 flags)
- Bullish sweep activity (2 call sweeps)
- Near 52-week high (97th percentile)
- Strong beat streak (6 consecutive quarters)
- Positive revision momentum (+0.23)
- Large average earnings surprise (+30.9%)
- Stable positive EPS estimates
- Quant Grade: B+ (78/100)
- Value: A
- Growth: C-
- Profitability: A-
- Momentum: B
- Eps Revisions: A+
- Deep value P/E 5.9
- Earnings +102%
- Elite gross margin 91%
- Strong analyst buy consensus (86%)
- Analyst target $172 vs $153.89 (+12% implied)
- Tight target dispersion (high conviction)
- Insider selling activity (14 sells)
- Held by Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett), Bridgewater Associates (Dalio), Renaissance Technologies (Simons)
- 6Q consecutive earnings beats (avg 27.1% surprise)
- Earnings surprises accelerating
- Insider cluster BUY: 25 insiders, $867,141,421 in 6d
- MACD bearish crossover
- Price above key moving averages
- Reddit sentiment neutral (0 mentions)
- StockTwits neutral
- Low social media volume (0 total messages)
- 6 consecutive earnings beats
- avg surprise +30.9%
- EPS trending up
- 5 C-suite buy(s) totaling $301,400 (+25 pts)
- Cluster buy: 11 distinct insiders bought (+20 pts)
- 2 purchase(s) increased ownership by >20% (+10 pts)
- 1 buy(s) >= $500K (total $4,980,722) (+5 pts)
- 11 distinct insiders selling (-20 pts)
- 11 C-suite sell(s) (-20 pts)
- Smart-money confirmation — moderate (+3)
A brief like this is generated from the engine's output every trading day. Today's Play is free — get it on the Play of the Day page or read how the 15 dimensions work.
The Play of the Day is the output of a quantitative scoring model, published for educational and informational purposes — it is not personalized investment advice, and Wall Street Analyst is not a registered investment advisor. Markets carry risk; past results don't guarantee future ones. Every decision is yours.